The British Ministry of Defense believes that the situation of the Russian Federation has deteriorated significantly

This was reported in the summary of the British Ministry of Defense.

The ministry believes Russia launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine to overthrow the government and occupy most of the country. By April, the Russian leadership realized this had failed and returned to more modest eastern and southern Ukraine goals.

The offensive in Donbas is making minimal progress, and Russia expects a major Ukrainian counterattack. Operationally, Russia is experiencing a shortage of ammunition, vehicles, and personnel.

The department stressed that the morale in many units is low, and the army's position has deteriorated significantly. Russia's diplomatic influence has waned, and the long-term economic outlook is bleak.