Invasion to Ukraine: Russia may not survive Putin's disastrous decision

While Russia is "rolling down to the Middle Ages," the existing federal system is already beginning to be regarded as illegitimate by a growing part of the population. Janusz Bugaisky, a senior fellow at the Jamestown Foundation think tank, writes about this in an article for the Atlantic Council.

A range of domestic scenarios could materialize that would push the country towards fragmentation, including an intensified power struggle within the elite, intensifying conflicts between the Kremlin and regional governments, and a split between the central government and several regions of the country, the author writes.

Do not forget about the many peoples of Transcaucasia, Siberia, and Trans-Urals, who are just waiting to start the "struggle for liberation."

To all the previously existing problems of Russia, a war that no one needed was added, the goals and meaning of which are incomprehensible to the vast majority of Russians. The war has expanded and exacerbated all the problems ordinary Russians had before February 24, 2022, and the "refrigerator" that Putin used to buy their indifference somehow is now not so full. And propaganda on TV sooner or later begins to eat itself: the success of the Armed Forces of Ukraine at the front, the appearance of Russians who say that Putin is to blame for everything - it was hard to imagine back in August.