Expert assesses likelihood of Wagner attack from Belarus

Colonel Pyotr Chernik, a military analyst, said this during an inclusion on Military Media Center.

At the time of the insurgency, this PUK was said to have up to 25,000 personnel and heavy weaponry, which should be returned to the Russian Ministry of Defence. Given the last year's experience for the organization of operations in this direction, the enemy will need at least 40,000 corps accompanied by 825 tanks, 2,500 combat vehicles and at least 1,000 artillery systems," Chernik explained.

In addition, in his opinion, swamp and forest terrain plays an important role. In addition, the AFU has learned to meet the enemy moving along these roads. The Defence Forces have also mined the road.

If they decide to reinforce the remnants of this criminal group in our forests, they are welcome," the expert concluded.

As previously reported, after the failed mutiny, Prigozhin was sent to Belarus.Some of his mercenaries are expected to follow him, which raises fears of a repeat attack on Ukraine by Belarus. The Ukrainian State Border Service believes that Lukashenko may receive some 8,940 Wagnerians.