Russian Federation will lose in war against Ukraine - Peking University professor

Peking University professor Feng Yujun has given four arguments why Russia is losing a full-scale war with Ukraine. His conclusions are published by The Economist.

In particular, he noted that we should not expect the war to end soon, but we should already prepare for the fact that the results of the military conflict will have a great impact on the world order afterwards.

The expert emphasised that although the conflict is deep and complicated, Ukraine will win the war. He gave four reasons "why":

• ukrainians' level of resistance and national unity;
• international support for Ukraine by Western countries;
• the legacy of the USSR in the Russian military, affecting everything from command to communications and intelligence;
• the distortion of information provided to Russian President Vladimir Putin.

All these factors, according to the Chinese professor, make Russia's final defeat inevitable.

Speaking about the outcome of military action, Feng noted that the Russian Federation will be forced to leave all occupied Ukrainian territories, including Crimea.

Nuclear potential cannot be a guarantee of success. The US once withdrew from Korea, Vietnam and Afghanistan despite nuclear weapons," he pointed out.

Predicting the consequences of a military confrontation, the professor pointed out that the door to the EU and NATO would be open for Ukraine, but Russia would lose its political influence on all former Soviet republics and would become economically uninteresting for the West.

The former USSR member states began to distance themselves from Moscow, while Europe on the contrary realised the Kremlin's threat to the entire international order," the expert said.

He also noted that the "Korean scenario" for Ukraine is unlikely.

The Russian Federation is ready to escalate the war and continues shelling Ukraine's critical infrastructure and cities. If the war is frozen, the Russian Federation will be able to take a pause to start new wars after the respite. The world will be in more danger, so this probability is low," he pointed out.

Feng added that after the end of the war, we should also expect the reform of a number of institutions, which have shown that they are not effective in resolving such political conflicts.