The Office of the President explained why the AFU has not yet liberated Crimea
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In the spring of 2023, the Office of the President predicted that Ukraine would be in Crimea in 5 or 7 months.
The adviser to the head of the presidential office, Mykhaylo Podolyak, told Channel 24 why Ukrainian soldiers have not yet liberated Crimea temporarily occupied by the Russians and named a number of factors that prevented this.
He agreed that the Ukrainian authorities had predicted that the AFU would enter the temporarily occupied territories of the peninsula in the summer of 2023, at the same time he pointed out that mathematical analysis had been used for such a forecast.
When we talk about the terms of liberation, today some people may say: "You said that we would enter Crimea in the summer of 2023". But on the basis of what was this said? On the basis of mathematical analysis - how many and what kind of weapons are needed ;how many and when these weapons will arrive; how many, when and how sanctions against Russia will work; how much and how Russia will spend money," Podolyak explained.
Podolyak noted that the sanctions that the Ukrainian authorities had hoped for have not been so effective, and many global companies continue to operate on the Russian market directly or with the help of intermediaries, which gives the aggressor country the opportunity to receive tax money.
Podolyak emphasised that the Kremlin does not lack funds to continue the war and already in 2024 intends to spend more than 14.6 trillion roubles on waging a war of conquest, which is much more than in 2023.
He also noted that another factor that influenced the course of the war was the weapons, or rather the overly delayed procedure of their transfer.
If we have agreed on certain tools of warfare, we should have these tools in 7-10 days, as much as necessary for logistics, and not in 90 -120 days," Podolyak pointed out.
He also noted that military analysts should quickly react to what equipment the enemy uses on the battlefield and, depending on this, change the defence strategy.
For example, if armoured vehicles have demonstrated that they are not the key element at the stage of defence breakthrough, Ukraine needs other weapons - drones, long-range missiles, REB systems, aviation. Only then we can predict the terms of liberation of Crimea and other occupied territories," the adviser to the head of the OP said.
We will add that Russia's losses in the war against Ukraine on the morning of 18 November have already exceeded 317 thousand occupants. Only in the last 24 hours, the AFU killed 620 invaders.
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Over 10 years in journalism. Media analyst from Volyn.









