Estonian intelligence has predicted the situation on the frontline
Ukraine began using asymmetric methods for operations behind enemy lines.
In the near future, the situation on the front will not change either in Ukraine's or Russia's favour. This is how the new head of the Estonian military intelligence centre, Colonel Ants Kiviselg, assesses the situation, ERR wrote.
He pointed out that the most active fighting continues around Robotino, Novoprokopovka and Verbovoye, where the Ukrainian military continues to win back important positions for further offensive.
Kiviselg noted that the Russians fear the Ukrainian defenders' offensive on Melitopol, so they are strengthening their defences on the approaches to the city, as well as transferring their "elite units" of the Airborne Forces to this direction.
This shows that the Russian command considers the tactical success of the Ukrainian offensive in this direction realistic," the Estonian representative pointed out.
According to Kiviselga, there are no significant changes on other parts of the front.
At the same time, the head of the Estonian intelligence agency said that Russia was trying to increase pressure on the Kupyansk-Kremenna section and seize the initiative there.
A part of the newly created 25th Army, which has no combat experience yet, was recently moved there. We have also noticed there assault units recruited from prisoners, which may indicate that they intend to use them for offence in the same way as the Wagnerites were used before," Kiviselg said.
The head of the Estonian intelligence service noted that Ukraine had started to operate behind enemy lines more often and pointed to the losses of the Russian Black Sea Fleet.
According to Kiviselg, in the near future Ukraine is likely to continue its offensive in Zaporizhzhya region and will probably achieve tactical successes there.
However, we now see that the situation on the front is relatively difficult and no major operational breakthrough is expected in the coming weeks," he stressed.