An expert who predicted a war between Russia and Ukraine predicts its fading in two weeks

Arestovich is known as a good forecaster. In an interview in 2019, he said that a big war between Russia and Ukraine would begin in 2021-2022. He also believes that the war with Russia could last until 2035.

After two, maximum three weeks, the active phase fades. By May 9, they announce some intermediate victories, say that the task has been completed, and offer to enter into negotiations. And they start shouting loudly that they defended the people of Donbass, they never had anything against Ukraine, forgetting their words that they were going to denazify us in 72 hours,” Arestovich said in an interview with Meduza. "There will be a positional war" - with artillery strikes, with special forces raids, small and tactical, not "we will capture everything in 72 hours", but a war for a crossroads, for a specific hut. Russia may try to accumulate more reserves in order to periodically undertake some kind of semi-offensive. And somewhere by the end of August they may try to attack somewhere else. The next offensive attempt may be in October. And then everything depends on how sanctions will work, whether new ones will be introduced, and how Western aid will go to Ukraine. So it may go until the New Year.

But this will no longer be an active war, Arestovich believes :

Mostly it will be trench warfare with rare, sporadic attempts to capture positions along the front line. But all future operations will still be less than this. I don't have enough energy for things like this.