ISW: Occupiers overestimate their military capabilities to advance in Donetsk region
The occupiers overestimate the capability of their offensive forces.
The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) reports:
Yevgeny Prigozhin, founder of the Wagner PMC, previously claimed that the average speed of Russian advance around Bakhmut was about 100 metres per day and it took Russian troops eight months to advance from occupied Popasna in Luhansk Region and Svetlodarsk to the current positions near Bakhmut (a distance of 25 km and 22 km respectively).
Analysts point out that collaborator Denys Pushylin has recently made a large number of statements about the advance of Russian forces in Donbas.
The ISW report points out that the ringleader of the so-called "DPR" has probably lost touch with reality, as he has started pondering the capture of Bakhmut, which would open the way to Kramatorsk and Slavyansk, located 40km to the north-west.
Analysts explained:
Pushilin's expectations for a hypothetical capture of Bakhmut further demonstrates that the Russians continue to face problems in accurately estimating the time-space relationship given their military capabilities.